While mortgage production remained under pressure at top banks in the first quarter of 2025—aligning with market expectations—uncertainty looms over what the future may hold.

Bank executives anticipate negative impacts from the ongoing trade war sparked by President Trump’s increase in tariffs. However, they remain hopeful that a potential deregulatory agenda from the current administration could boost lending activity.

“The economy is facing considerable turbulence (including geopolitics), with the potential positives of tax reform and deregulation and the potential negatives of tariffs and ‘trade wars,’ ongoing sticky inflation, high fiscal deficits and still rather high asset details ⇒

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